Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:25:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

17
0x17de…cb7b
crypto · 1333 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$87 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$87 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$87
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses948 / 384
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1332 / 1333
History coverage5d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day494.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1332 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$23
7 days−$87
14 days−$87
30 days−$87
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 89¢ 87¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$5 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$2 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$7 -64%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$3 -44%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$6 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$10 +84%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$4 -61%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +32%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -42%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -64%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -22%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$5 -44%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -50%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$6 -57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -20%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$5 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$87
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $22 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $6 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $6 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $6 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $6 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $3 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $3 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $6 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $4 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $5 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $4 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 17m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1332 -2.1% -11.4% 71% 46% -10.3%
≤30d 1332 -2.1% -11.4% 71% 46% -10.3%
≤90d 1332 -2.1% -11.4% 71% 46% -10.3%
all 1332 -2.1% -11.4% 71% 46% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover494.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 46% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 22% -18.9%
15% -27.6% 7% -26.7%
20% -34.7% 3% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.01 · official $6.21 · 3500 history records