trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +82.7% | +65.3% | 100% | 100% | +65.3% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -5.7% | -14.7% | 67% | 33% | -2.8% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -12.2% | -20.5% | 78% | 11% | -26.6% |
| all | 16 | -6.4% | -15.3% | 88% | 6% | -23.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.3% | 6% | -23.7% |
| 10% | -23.4% | 6% | -31.0% |
| 15% | -30.8% | 6% | -37.6% |
| 20% | -37.6% | 6% | -43.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $201 | +$166 | +83% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 29 | $141 | −$140 | -99% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? | May 21 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 27 | $182 | −$179 | -99% |
| Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 202 | Apr 27 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar) | Apr 27 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%? | Apr 27 | $19 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Febru | Apr 27 | $26 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 11? | Apr 27 | $196 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap | Feb 03 | $17 | +$1 | +4% |
| Jimmy Lai released by January 31? | Feb 03 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of January 5 above $540? | Feb 03 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Clavicular in jail by January 31? | Feb 03 | $22 | $0 | +2% |
| Will NVIDIA reach $272 in January? | Feb 03 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | Feb 03 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP reach $3.60 in December? | Jan 07 | $22 | $0 | +0% |