Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:46:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

17
0x17d8…0023
sports · 431 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$82 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$48 · open +$34
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$81
Realized+$48
Unrealized+$34
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses187 / 240
Est. fees paid−$152
Open positions4
Markets (closed)427 / 431
History coverage42d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day75.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 427 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$93
7 days+$2
14 days+$182
30 days+$58
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner MOUZ 55¢ 100¢ $21 $38 +$17 (+83%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Marin Cilic 52¢ 100¢ $20 $38 +$18 (+91%)
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Thijs Boogaard 54¢ 41¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-25%)
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $37 −$28 -77%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $35 −$1 -2%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $5 +$3 +60%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 $0 -3%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$17 +83%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5) Jun 11 $30 −$30 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $35 −$13 -38%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $5 +$4 +90%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $5 $0 -3%
Cholet vs. Paris Basketball Jun 09 $5 $0 +3%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 09 $5 $0 +4%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $10 +$9 +90%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $5 −$4 -88%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $10 $0 +3%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5) Jun 09 $5 +$5 +97%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 09 $10 +$14 +139%
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $30 +$30 +99%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Partizan Sangal (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss S Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 08 $30 +$27 +90%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $10 +$9 +85%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $5 $0 +5%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $5 +$1 +14%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5) Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $15 +$13 +90%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $5 −$2 -46%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) Jun 08 $10 −$10 -99%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $5 +$7 +140%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 08 $30 +$36 +118%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $25 −$25 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $15 +$27 +181%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $30 +$57 +190%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group S Jun 07 $20 +$26 +130%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $30 +$28 +94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$82
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 54¢ $5 5m
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Marin Cilic 51¢ $5 39m
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Marin Cilic 52¢ $5 40m
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Marin Cilic 52¢ $5 40m
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Marin Cilic 53¢ $5 40m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 71¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 76¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 76¢ $1 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 76¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 76¢ $1 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 76¢ $1 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $1 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 74¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 74¢ $5 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $12 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $1 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $1 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $1 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $1 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 51¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 51¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 51¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 51¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 51¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 85 -9.8% -18.4% 42% 34% -9.4%
≤30d 321 -7.9% -16.6% 44% 37% -8.5%
≤90d 427 -4.0% -13.2% 44% 36% -11.9%
all 427 -4.0% -13.2% 44% 36% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover75.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.2% 36% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.5% 34% -20.3%
15% -29.1% 32% -28.0%
20% -36.0% 29% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $80.82 · official $80.82 (match) · 3500 history records