Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:05:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

17
0x17d5…6d57
crypto · 353 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$8 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses292 / 57
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)349 / 353
History coverage32d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day12.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 3 History 349 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17
7 days+$17
14 days+$31
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 16? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 16? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $220-$225 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22? Yes 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% +$6
other 5% $0
weather 3% −$18
finance 1% +$1
politics 1% $0
tech 0% +$1
sports 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND BUY 50¢ $1 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 128 +5.3% -4.7% 87% 54% -4.3%
≤30d 344 +2.2% -7.5% 84% 43% -9.5%
≤90d 349 +1.7% -8.0% 84% 43% -10.3%
all 349 +1.7% -8.0% 84% 43% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.0% 43% -10.3%
10% -16.8% 22% -18.8%
15% -24.8% 11% -26.7%
20% -32.2% 6% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.96 · official $9.96 · 713 history records