Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:19:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

17
0x17cc…4e1b
crypto · 418 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$43 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$63 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$64
Realized−$63
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses235 / 164
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions19
Markets (closed)399 / 418
History coverage96d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day7.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 19 History 399 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days+$106
14 days+$4
30 days+$46
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 15? Yes 53¢ 52¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 15? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15? Yes 43¢ 42¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 15? Yes 42¢ 41¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 15? Yes 33¢ 40¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+23%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 15? Yes 38¢ 38¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 15? Yes 37¢ 39¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 15? Yes 39¢ 38¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-4%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15? Yes 41¢ 36¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-11%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 15? Yes 37¢ 36¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 15? Yes 37¢ 36¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-4%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 15? Yes 30¢ 32¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+8%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 15? Yes 32¢ 30¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-6%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 15? Yes 35¢ 30¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-14%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 15? Yes 29¢ 28¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 15? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 15? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 15? Yes 26¢ 20¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-23%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 13? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13? Jun 14 $3 +$7 +192%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 14 $5 +$5 +116%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 13? Jun 14 $4 +$6 +131%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 13? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 13? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 13? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? Jun 13 $4 +$6 +149%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $4 +$6 +126%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $4 +$6 +177%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 +$5 +91%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $4 +$6 +162%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? Jun 07 $243 +$91 +38%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 6? Jun 07 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 5? Jun 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 5? Jun 05 $34 −$34 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 5? Jun 05 $34 −$34 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 5? Jun 05 $17 +$83 +488%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 4? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on June 3? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 2? Jun 03 $30 −$30 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 2? Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 2? Jun 03 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 2? Jun 03 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on June 2? Jun 02 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on June 2? Jun 02 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on June 2? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on June 2? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 1? Jun 02 $27 −$27 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 1? Jun 02 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 1? Jun 02 $25 −$25 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1? Jun 01 $3 +$23 +808%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C or higher on May 30? May 31 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on May 30? May 31 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on May 30? May 31 $26 −$26 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 30? May 31 $22 −$22 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 30? May 31 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 31? May 31 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 30? May 31 $32 +$48 +149%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31? May 31 $9 +$17 +179%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on May 30? May 31 $24 +$86 +352%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $39 −$39 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 26? May 27 $26 +$6 +24%
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 26? May 26 $37 +$13 +35%
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 26? May 26 $38 +$5 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 65% −$90
weather 24% −$6
other 9% +$53
sports 2% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 15? BUY Yes 38¢ $1 53m
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15? BUY Yes 43¢ $4 55m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 15? BUY Yes 34¢ $2 57m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 15? BUY Yes 53¢ $5 57m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 15? BUY Yes 26¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 15? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 15? BUY Yes 37¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 15? BUY Yes 39¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 15? BUY Yes 38¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 15? BUY Yes 29¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 15? BUY Yes 37¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 15? BUY Yes 30¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 15? BUY Yes 33¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15? BUY Yes 41¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 15? BUY Yes 35¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 15? BUY Yes 38¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June BUY Yes 32¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June BUY Yes 42¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 15? BUY Yes 28¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 15? BUY Yes 37¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $10 3h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 35¢ $4 44h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13? BUY Yes 43¢ $4 44h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 13? BUY Yes 27¢ $3 44h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 51¢ $5 44h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 35¢ $4 44h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 13? BUY Yes 43¢ $4 44h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 27¢ $3 44h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 42¢ $4 44h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 13? BUY Yes 30¢ $3 44h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 +15.7% +4.7% 50% 50% +21.7%
≤30d 75 -1.6% -11.0% 37% 37% -5.3%
≤90d 368 -4.0% -13.2% 61% 46% -9.7%
all 399 -6.5% -15.4% 59% 46% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.4% 46% -11.3%
10% -23.5% 30% -19.8%
15% -30.9% 16% -27.6%
20% -37.7% 12% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $63.67 · official $63.67 (match) · 1064 history records