Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:07:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

17
0x17ba…334a
crypto · 88 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$13 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses44 / 42
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)86 / 88
History coverage3d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day56.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 2 History 86 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$13
14 days−$13
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Brazil 32¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 12 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$12
sports 6% −$2
other 3% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 1h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Brazil 32¢ $1 16h
Spread: United States (-1.5) SELL Paraguay 14¢ $0 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Down 16¢ $0 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 -4.3% -13.4% 51% 47% -15.6%
≤30d 86 -4.3% -13.4% 51% 47% -15.6%
≤90d 86 -4.3% -13.4% 51% 47% -15.6%
all 86 -4.3% -13.4% 51% 47% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.4% 47% -15.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.7% 34% -23.7%
15% -29.2% 26% -31.0%
20% -36.2% 22% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.20 · official $1.20 (match) · 274 history records