trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -19.9% | -27.6% | 0% | 0% | -24.1% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -33.4% | -39.7% | 27% | 0% | -19.3% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -33.4% | -39.7% | 27% | 0% | -19.3% |
| all | 11 | -33.4% | -39.7% | 27% | 0% | -19.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -39.7% | 0% | -19.3% |
| 10% | -45.5% | 0% | -27.0% |
| 15% | -50.8% | 0% | -34.1% |
| 20% | -55.6% | 0% | -40.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 77¢ | 0¢ | $13 | $0 | −$13 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026? | Jun 11 | $20 | −$9 | -45% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 11 | $21 | $0 | -1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 10 | $120 | −$17 | -14% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | Jun 03 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | Jun 03 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | Jun 03 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $78 | $0 | -0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | May 31 | $75 | +$3 | +5% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 29 | $172 | +$6 | +3% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | May 28 | $290 | −$49 | -17% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 28 | $120 | +$1 | +1% |