Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:43:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

17
0x17a5…8d13
crypto · 1711 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$49 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$49 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$49
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses1410 / 300
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1710 / 1711
History coverage6d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day265.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1710 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$30
7 days−$49
14 days−$49
30 days−$49
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$49
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1710 -2.5% -11.8% 82% 75% -11.8%
≤30d 1710 -2.5% -11.8% 82% 75% -11.8%
≤90d 1710 -2.5% -11.8% 82% 75% -11.8%
all 1710 -2.5% -11.8% 82% 75% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover265.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 75% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 5% -20.3%
15% -27.9% 1% -28.0%
20% -35.0% 0% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records