trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | -30.0% | -36.6% | 41% | 18% | -23.8% |
| ≤30d | 23 | -22.7% | -30.1% | 35% | 13% | -23.1% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -22.7% | -30.1% | 35% | 13% | -23.1% |
| all | 23 | -22.7% | -30.1% | 35% | 13% | -23.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -30.1% | 13% | -23.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -36.7% | 13% | -30.5% |
| 15% | -42.9% | 13% | -37.2% |
| 20% | -48.5% | 9% | -43.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 83¢ | 80¢ | $994 | $966 | −$28 (-3%) |
| Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? | No | 98¢ | 97¢ | $391 | $390 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 86¢ | 86¢ | $172 | $171 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? | Yes | 36¢ | 16¢ | $382 | $163 | −$219 (-57%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | Yes | 47¢ | 38¢ | $188 | $154 | −$34 (-18%) |
| Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $95 | $94 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? | Yes | 17¢ | 6¢ | $34 | $13 | −$21 (-62%) |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June? | Yes | 24¢ | 10¢ | $24 | $10 | −$14 (-56%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $19 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $388 | −$385 | -99% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ju | Jun 16 | $983 | −$19 | -2% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1,205 | +$1,137 | +94% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $62 | −$62 | -99% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $2,945 | −$2,938 | -100% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5 | Jun 15 | $297 | −$20 | -7% |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $99 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | Jun 15 | $37 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Jun 15 | $298 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $349 | +$141 | +40% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $67 | −$66 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1,249 | +$671 | +54% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $101 | −$90 | -89% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $312 | −$308 | -99% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $209 | −$205 | -98% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? | Jun 12 | $3,074 | +$265 | +9% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 09 | $4 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 09 | $11 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele | Jun 07 | $21 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Jun 04 | $196 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 04 | $91 | +$4 | +4% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | Jun 03 | $278 | −$1 | -0% |