Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:00:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

17
0x17a3…2741
crypto · 169 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$8 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$141
Realized+$4
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses157 / 5
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions7
Markets (closed)162 / 169
History coverage7d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day24.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 7 History 162 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days+$3
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%? No 93¢ 100¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+7%)
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%? No 95¢ 99¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+5%)
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%? No 96¢ 100¢ $19 $20 +$1 (+4%)
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%? No 99¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+? No 98¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%? No 98¢ 98¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be greater than 85%? No 98¢ 97¢ $20 $19 −$0 (-2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? Yes 98¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 12? Jun 13 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +9%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $14 +$2 +10%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 +$1 +10%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? Jun 11 $19 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +5%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% +$21
politics 6% +$3
finance 3% −$19
other 2% +$1
sports 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 6h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $15 6h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $14 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $14 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $14 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $14 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $15 15h
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 12? BUY Yes 99¢ $15 18h
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $15 18h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? BUY Yes 91¢ $14 18h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12? BUY No 91¢ $15 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 22h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $14 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 160 +0.0% -9.5% 97% 1% -9.4%
≤30d 162 +0.0% -9.5% 97% 1% -9.4%
≤90d 162 +0.0% -9.5% 97% 1% -9.4%
all 162 +0.0% -9.5% 97% 1% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 1% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 0% -18.0%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $140.83 · official $140.90 (match) · 330 history records