Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:35:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

17
0x179e…1255
crypto · 47 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$135 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$129 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$52
Realized−$129
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses18 / 26
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)44 / 47
History coverage23d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day4.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 3 History 44 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$25
7 days+$25
14 days−$19
30 days−$129
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $47 $48 +$1 (+1%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 6¢ 4¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-27%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $25 +$29 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -95%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$2 +15%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $35 +$15 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 02 $24 −$13 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 02 $13 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 02 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 02 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 02 $3 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 02 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 02 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 02 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 02 $9 +$6 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 02 $5 +$3 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 02 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 02 $26 +$10 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 02 $16 −$15 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 02 $21 +$28 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 02 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 20 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET May 20 $66 −$62 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 20 $74 −$9 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET May 20 $28 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 20 $5 −$4 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 20 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET May 20 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 20 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 20 $47 +$33 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 20 $7 +$6 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 20 $26 −$13 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 20 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 20 $42 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 20 $47 +$8 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET May 20 $11 −$10 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET May 20 $26 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET May 20 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET May 20 $26 +$16 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET May 20 $26 +$13 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET May 20 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET May 20 $5 −$1 -12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$163
other 12% $0
sports 3% +$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 6¢ $6 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $48 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $54 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $11 9h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $4 14h
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 14h
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 5¢ $3 14h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 14h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $25 14h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $12 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $11 24h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $50 25h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $35 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $12 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $11 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $8 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $5 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $10 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $5 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-36.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -32.8% -39.2% 43% 43% +15.4%
≤30d 44 -30.1% -36.8% 41% 39% -24.2%
≤90d 44 -30.1% -36.8% 41% 39% -24.2%
all 44 -30.1% -36.8% 41% 39% -24.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -36.8% 39% -24.2%
10% -42.8% 27% -31.4%
15% -48.3% 25% -38.1%
20% -53.4% 16% -44.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $51.92 · official $51.92 (match) · 103 history records