trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -11.7% | -20.2% | 69% | 8% | -8.5% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -10.0% | -18.6% | 71% | 14% | -7.9% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -10.0% | -18.6% | 71% | 14% | -7.9% |
| all | 14 | -10.0% | -18.6% | 71% | 14% | -7.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.6% | 14% | -7.9% |
| 10% | -26.4% | 7% | -16.8% |
| 15% | -33.5% | 7% | -24.8% |
| 20% | -40.0% | 7% | -32.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | No | 91¢ | 99¢ | $90 | $98 | +$8 (+8%) |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | No | 45¢ | 15¢ | $294 | $97 | −$197 (-67%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 80¢ | 74¢ | $60 | $55 | −$5 (-8%) |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | $20 | $23 | +$3 (+17%) |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 80¢ | 96¢ | $7 | $8 | +$1 (+19%) |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | No | 89¢ | 99¢ | $7 | $8 | +$1 (+12%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026? | Jun 15 | $282 | +$12 | +4% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Jun 15 | $975 | +$24 | +2% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 14? | Jun 15 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 | Jun 14 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 13? | Jun 14 | $5 | $0 | +3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | Jun 13 | $97 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 12? | Jun 13 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 10? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 11? | Jun 12 | $50 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 10? | Jun 10 | $5 | +$6 | +126% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | Jun 10 | $70 | +$1 | +1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 09 | $105 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? | Jun 07 | $88 | +$11 | +12% |