Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T12:17:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
17 0x1797…f86e crypto 1767 markets active 0h ago coverage 32d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 31d only
✗ bot/MM pace (59 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$50 (+0%) realized +$50 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR23%break-even
Win rate89%1569W / 198L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day59.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$40
14 days−$150
30 days−$432
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$375
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (59 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 482 -1.3% -10.7% 93% 6% -11.5%
≤30d 1613 -2.4% -11.7% 88% 25% -14.1%
≤90d 1767 -2.1% -11.4% 89% 23% -12.1%
all 1767 -2.1% -11.4% 89% 23% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover59.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 23% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 12% -20.6%
15% -27.6% 4% -28.2%
20% -34.7% 1% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
71% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$6 · ×0.08 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.67 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

32d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$50
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses1569 / 198
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1767 / 1767
History coverage32d ⚠
Avg bet$7
Trades / day59.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1767 Trades
no open positions (88 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records