Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:59:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

17
0x1777…d59c
crypto · 1209 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$44 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$44 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$44
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses734 / 473
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1207 / 1209
History coverage20d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day140.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1207 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$39
7 days−$262
14 days−$271
30 days−$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 51¢ 46¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$10 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$11 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$6 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$9 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$19 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$20 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$13 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$13 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$14 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$19 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$18 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$13 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$7 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$15 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$15 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$16 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$5 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$10 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$13 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$6 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$14 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$12 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$8 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$27 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$15 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$20 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$14 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$12 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$11 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$12 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$11 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$16 -82%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$44
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $16 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $16 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $23 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $15 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $11 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $20 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 385 -4.4% -13.5% 60% 47% -13.1%
≤30d 1207 +0.3% -9.2% 61% 50% -9.8%
≤90d 1207 +0.3% -9.2% 61% 50% -9.8%
all 1207 +0.3% -9.2% 61% 50% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover140.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.2% 50% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 41% -18.4%
15% -25.8% 33% -26.3%
20% -33.1% 25% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.47 · official $5.71 (match) · 3500 history records