Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:27:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

17
0x1770…d2eb
world · 3 markets active 2h ago
0.5score
−$15 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP world specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses1 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage9d
Avg bet$100
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20
7 days−$15
14 days−$15
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? Jun 13 $90 −$7 -8%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 13 $114 −$13 -11%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 08 $95 +$5 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 100% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? SELL No 83¢ $83 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY No 90¢ $90 5h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 83¢ $101 8h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 86¢ $19 37h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 95¢ $95 5d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? BUY No 95¢ $95 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -4.6% -13.6% 33% 0% -14.0%
≤30d 3 -4.6% -13.6% 33% 0% -14.0%
≤90d 3 -4.6% -13.6% 33% 0% -14.0%
all 3 -4.6% -13.6% 33% 0% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.6% 0% -14.0%
10% -21.9% 0% -22.2%
15% -29.5% 0% -29.7%
20% -36.4% 0% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 7 history records