Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:47:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

17
0x1764…b41a
crypto · 497 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$69 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$69 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$69
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses303 / 194
Open positions0
Markets (closed)497 / 497
History coverage13d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day48.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 497 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$75
7 days−$64
14 days−$69
30 days−$69
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$68
world 2% +$1
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 10m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 24m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 39m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 40m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 55m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 467 -5.6% -14.6% 61% 54% -14.7%
≤30d 497 -5.8% -14.8% 61% 53% -14.7%
≤90d 497 -5.8% -14.8% 61% 53% -14.7%
all 497 -5.8% -14.8% 61% 53% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 53% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 44% -22.8%
15% -30.4% 35% -30.3%
20% -37.2% 27% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 948 history records