Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:03:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

17
0x1755…5aac
tech · 342 markets active 17h ago
0.0score
+$12,500 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13,801 · open +$113
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY tech specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$28,443
Realized+$13,801
Unrealized+$113
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses205 / 274
Whale WR (big bets)69%
Est. fees paid−$76
Open positions155
Markets (closed)479 / 342
History coverage8d
Avg bet$370
Trades / day316.3
Drawdown80%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 155 History 479 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,369
7 days+$10,010
14 days+$13,801
30 days+$13,801
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of June 8 above $355? Yes 29¢ 90¢ $803 $2,452 +$1,649 (+205%)
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $100 Week of June 8 2026? No 85¢ 93¢ $1,549 $1,688 +$138 (+9%)
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of June 8 above $345? Yes 73¢ 95¢ $1,131 $1,474 +$343 (+30%)
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in June? No 73¢ 84¢ $1,224 $1,403 +$179 (+15%)
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 Week of June 8 2026? No 79¢ 97¢ $1,089 $1,337 +$248 (+23%)
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $3.00 end of June? Yes 89¢ 94¢ $1,061 $1,122 +$62 (+6%)
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12? Yes 72¢ 96¢ $806 $1,082 +$276 (+34%)
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $390 in June? No 67¢ 65¢ $1,022 $995 −$27 (-3%)
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of June 8 above $4.00? Yes 92¢ 99¢ $918 $990 +$72 (+8%)
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of June 8 above $5.00? No 77¢ 98¢ $773 $983 +$210 (+27%)
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June? No 83¢ 92¢ $603 $670 +$67 (+11%)
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in June? No 63¢ 92¢ $435 $629 +$193 (+44%)
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in June? No 55¢ 68¢ $456 $567 +$111 (+24%)
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 on June 12? No 88¢ 26¢ $1,863 $553 −$1,310 (-70%)
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $480 in June? No 74¢ 96¢ $417 $536 +$119 (+29%)
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $122 Week of June 8 2026? No 66¢ 56¢ $606 $515 −$92 (-15%)
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.50 in June? No 87¢ 99¢ $439 $501 +$62 (+14%)
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of June 8 above $4.50? No 70¢ 50¢ $698 $500 −$198 (-28%)
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $272 in June? No 74¢ 86¢ $416 $484 +$67 (+16%)
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $90 in June? No 63¢ 88¢ $345 $478 +$133 (+38%)
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of June 8 above $360? Yes 13¢ 50¢ $106 $410 +$303 (+286%)
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in June? No 88¢ 88¢ $384 $385 +$0 (+0%)
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $355 on June 12? No 73¢ 18¢ $1,396 $346 −$1,050 (-75%)
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 in June? No 67¢ 78¢ $277 $323 +$46 (+17%)
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $495 in June? Yes 22¢ 9¢ $770 $315 −$455 (-59%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on June 1? Jun 12 $1 −$3 -468%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $450 on June 1? Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $260-$265 on the final day of trading of t Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 15? Jun 12 $0 −$55 -15550%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $457.50 Week of May 25 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$6 -2628%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $405 Week of May 25 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$2 -1012%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $415-$420 on the final day of trading of th Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 8 above $480? Jun 12 $0 +$2 +4800%
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of t Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$395 on the final day of trading of the we Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $140 end of April? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $375 on May 6? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Meta (META) close at $560-$570 on the final day of trading of the Jun 12 $5 +$21 +424%
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $162 end of December? Jun 12 $5 +$127 +2695%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $165-$170 on the final day of trading of t Jun 12 $1 −$3 -200%
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading Jun 12 $9 −$9 -96%
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 11 above $375? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 30 above $385? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Meta (META) close at $530-$540 on the final day of trading of the Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $195-$200 on the final day of trading of t Jun 12 $3 +$13 +488%
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $375-$380 on the final day of trading of Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $390-$395 on the final day of trading of Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on March 20? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading Jun 12 $0 $0 -200%
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of April 20 above $405? Jun 12 $0 +$13 +17020%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 on May 29? Jun 12 $42 −$39 -92%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $410-$420 on the final day of trading o Jun 12 $1 +$18 +1379%
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 1? Jun 12 $53 +$531 +1003%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $370-$380 on the final day of trading o Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 16 above $160? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $420 in June? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 27 above $315? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 16 above $415? Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $290-$295 on the final day of trading of Jun 12 $3 −$6 -200%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.25 Week of June 1 Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 18 above $420? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on February 3? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of April 13 above $124? Jun 12 $0 +$2 +964%
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 29? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $84 in May? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +112%
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of March 23 above $4.50? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 28? Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 18 above $435? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on June 2? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on February 12? Jun 12 $1 +$107 +11384%
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 27? Jun 12 $284 −$391 -138%
Will Meta (META) close above $620 on February 19? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading Jun 12 $3 +$2 +72%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $275 on May 11? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $375-$380 on the final day of trading of th Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
tech 54% +$5,354
other 41% +$4,902
sports 5% +$1,467
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 49¢ $2 17h
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 31¢ $76 17h
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $345 on June 12? BUY Yes 92¢ $28 17h
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $350 on June 12? BUY Yes 84¢ $24 17h
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on June 11? BUY No 38¢ $4 17h
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $355 on June 12? BUY Yes 63¢ $19 17h
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of June 8 above $355? BUY Yes 63¢ $18 17h
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $382.50 Week of June 8 202 BUY No 68¢ $17 17h
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on June 11? BUY Yes 13¢ $3 17h
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on June 11? BUY Yes 10¢ $42 17h
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on June 11? BUY Yes 10¢ $14 17h
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $390? BUY Yes 70¢ $7 17h
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $350 on June 12? BUY No 19¢ $4 17h
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $355 on June 12? BUY No 40¢ $6 17h
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on June 11? BUY Yes 39¢ $18 17h
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 in June? BUY No 39¢ $24 17h
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 in June? BUY Yes 54¢ $532 17h
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 79¢ $2 17h
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on June 11? BUY Yes 28¢ $6 17h
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $100 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 85¢ $6 17h
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $100 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 87¢ $7 17h
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $100 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 87¢ $482 17h
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $240? BUY Yes 64¢ $17 17h
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June? BUY No 90¢ $90 17h
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on June 12? BUY No 50¢ $10 17h
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 94¢ $12 17h
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 94¢ $10 17h
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on June 11? BUY Yes 18¢ $2 17h
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in June? BUY No 50¢ $17 17h
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on June 12? BUY Yes 68¢ $7 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)+163.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 437 +186.9% +159.5% 40% 34% -1.4%
≤30d 479 +191.0% +163.2% 43% 37% +1.8%
≤90d 479 +191.0% +163.2% 43% 37% +1.8%
all 479 +191.0% +163.2% 43% 37% +1.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover316.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +163.2% 37% +1.8%
10% ← realistic here +138.1% 31% -8.0%
15% +115.1% 29% -16.9%
20% +94.0% 26% -25.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $28,443.10 · official $28,435.73 (match) · 3500 history records