Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:13:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

17
0x1741…cdd2
crypto · 90 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$18 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$21 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$26
Realized−$21
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses47 / 40
Open positions3
Markets (closed)87 / 90
History coverage1d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day301.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 87 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$21
14 days−$21
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 62¢ 72¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+17%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 62¢ 70¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+14%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 61¢ 59¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$6 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +49%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$5 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$5 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$5 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$6 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +75%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$7 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$6 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$6 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$4 -34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$5 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$6 -39%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$7 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$6 -41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$7 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$4 -29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$6 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$1 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$5 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +45%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$7 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$7 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $8 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $8 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $8 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $0 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $8 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $7 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $7 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $0 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $0 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $0 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $0 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $7 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $7 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $7 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 16m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 87 +3.4% -6.5% 54% 54% -11.5%
≤30d 87 +3.4% -6.5% 54% 54% -11.5%
≤90d 87 +3.4% -6.5% 54% 54% -11.5%
all 87 +3.4% -6.5% 54% 54% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover301.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.5% 54% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -15.4% 53% -20.0%
15% -23.6% 52% -27.7%
20% -31.1% 16% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $26.05 · official $25.60 (match) · 380 history records