Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

17
0x173f…ff4c
crypto · 773 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$108 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$108 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$108
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses460 / 312
Open positions0
Markets (closed)772 / 773
History coverage12d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day256.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 772 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$224
7 days−$271
14 days−$108
30 days−$108
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$16 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$15 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$16 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$16 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$16 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$16 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$16 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$16 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$15 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$16 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$16 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$15 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$16 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$15 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$15 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$16 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$16 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$14 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$16 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$15 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$16 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$27 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$16 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$16 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$16 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$16 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$15 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$16 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$16 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$15 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$15 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$16 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$15 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$27 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$15 +39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$116
other 0% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $28 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $26 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $0 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $0 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $25 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $27 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $7 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $27 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $6 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 29m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 281 -9.4% -18.0% 59% 58% -11.8%
≤30d 772 -5.0% -14.0% 60% 59% -9.8%
≤90d 772 -5.0% -14.0% 60% 59% -9.8%
all 772 -5.0% -14.0% 60% 59% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover256.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 59% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.3% 58% -18.4%
15% -29.8% 55% -26.3%
20% -36.7% 13% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3425 history records