trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +7.2% | -3.0% | 75% | 75% | -4.4% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +38.2% | +25.0% | 56% | 56% | +13.6% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +57.2% | +42.3% | 62% | 62% | +20.2% |
| all | 84 | +30.6% | +18.1% | 58% | 57% | +15.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +18.1% | 57% | +15.0% |
| 10% | +6.8% | 55% | +4.0% |
| 15% | -3.5% | 49% | -6.0% |
| 20% | -13.0% | 45% | -15.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | No | 33¢ | 32¢ | $281 | $277 | −$4 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $292 | +$159 | +55% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $266 | +$152 | +57% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $329 | −$326 | -99% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $574 | +$98 | +17% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $96 | −$95 | -99% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $256 | +$994 | +388% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $390 | −$388 | -100% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 10 | $75 | −$74 | -98% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | Jun 10 | $31 | +$69 | +226% |
| GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Panna Udvardy vs Anhelina Kalinina | May 22 | $11 | −$11 | -98% |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10? | May 10 | $11 | −$11 | -98% |
| Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | May 10 | $18 | +$23 | +129% |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Bublik | Apr 16 | $19 | +$22 | +114% |
| Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-05? | Apr 09 | $19 | +$30 | +158% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-03-26? | Apr 05 | $37 | +$51 | +138% |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21? | Mar 26 | $50 | +$116 | +233% |
| Knicks vs. Nuggets | Mar 12 | $49 | +$50 | +104% |
| Ducks vs. Maple Leafs | Mar 12 | $71 | −$71 | -100% |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26? | Mar 07 | $62 | +$93 | +150% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16? | Feb 26 | $39 | +$100 | +257% |
| Murray State Racers vs. Southern Illinois Salukis | Feb 06 | $64 | −$64 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Pacers | Feb 02 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Jan 25 | $98 | −$49 | -50% |
| Rockets vs. Pistons | Jan 25 | $53 | +$87 | +163% |
| Raptors vs. Hornets | Jan 07 | $62 | −$62 | -100% |
| Vikings vs. Cowboys | Jan 07 | $43 | +$90 | +212% |
| Spurs vs. Lakers | Dec 14 | $24 | +$58 | +245% |
| Giants vs. Patriots | Dec 01 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| Packers vs. Lions | Nov 27 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Bills vs. Texans | Nov 27 | $40 | +$92 | +233% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Nov 11 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Suns | Nov 06 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Nov 06 | $18 | +$37 | +203% |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Minnesota | Oct 27 | $19 | +$43 | +223% |
| Cubs vs. Brewers | Oct 17 | $14 | +$12 | +85% |
| Panthers vs. Flyers | Oct 17 | $19 | +$26 | +138% |
| Will Everton vs. West Ham end in a draw? | Sep 29 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Rays vs. Orioles | Sep 29 | $16 | +$18 | +108% |
| Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16? | Sep 23 | $18 | +$6 | +37% |
| Colorado vs. Houston | Sep 12 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Brewers vs. Pirates | Sep 05 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| TCU vs. North Carolina | Sep 01 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Will Benfica win on 2025-08-27? | Sep 01 | $11 | +$7 | +67% |
| Blue Jays vs. Pirates | Aug 27 | $14 | +$10 | +72% |
| Marlins vs. Guardians | Aug 19 | $12 | +$10 | +79% |
| Guardians vs. Mets | Aug 12 | $12 | +$18 | +156% |
| Orioles vs. Guardians | Aug 06 | $16 | +$11 | +64% |
| Phillies vs. Yankees | Jul 27 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Jul 22 | $11 | +$4 | +32% |
| Red Sox vs. Nationals | Jul 12 | $13 | +$5 | +41% |