Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:44:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

17
0x172f…1b8b
crypto · 641 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$240 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$240 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$240
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses467 / 174
Open positions0
Markets (closed)641 / 641
History coverage33d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day21.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 641 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$98
7 days−$536
14 days−$522
30 days−$240
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$8 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$240
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +73%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 300 -17.8% -25.6% 59% 59% -25.4%
≤30d 640 -3.7% -12.9% 73% 73% -12.9%
≤90d 641 -3.7% -12.9% 73% 73% -12.9%
all 641 -3.7% -12.9% 73% 73% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.9% 73% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 53% -21.2%
15% -28.8% 19% -28.8%
20% -35.8% 5% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1304 history records