Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T18:40:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
17 0x172a…a2f8 crypto 192 markets active 6d ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (694 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$2,370 (-4%) realized −$2,370 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate50%96W / 96L
Whale WR64%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$279per market
Trades / day693.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$2,676
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (694 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 89 -4.7% -13.7% 48% 48% -16.9%
≤30d 192 -0.7% -10.1% 50% 50% -14.1%
≤90d 192 -0.7% -10.1% 50% 50% -14.1%
all 192 -0.7% -10.1% 50% 50% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover693.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 50% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 50% -22.3%
15% -26.6% 50% -29.8%
20% -33.8% 50% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 64% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +2% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
12.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$260 vs −$288 · ×0.9 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,370
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses96 / 96
Whale WR (big bets)64%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)192 / 192
History coverage3d
Avg bet$279
Trades / day693.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 192 Trades
no open positions (94 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $251 −$250 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $256 −$250 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $241 +$258 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $259 −$250 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $253 +$247 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $251 −$250 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $71 +$66 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $250 −$250 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $250 +$250 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $252 +$248 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $252 −$250 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $152 +$149 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $252 −$250 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $251 −$250 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $259 −$250 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $256 +$244 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $259 −$250 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $259 +$241 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $255 −$250 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $254 +$246 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $259 +$241 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $259 −$250 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $258 +$242 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $250 +$250 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $259 +$241 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $255 −$250 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $254 −$245 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 11 $156 +$146 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $255 −$250 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $255 +$245 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $259 −$250 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $244 +$235 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $253 −$250 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $253 +$247 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $259 −$250 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $255 −$250 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $253 +$247 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $253 −$250 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $259 +$241 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $254 −$250 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $250 +$250 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $259 −$250 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $259 +$241 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $255 +$245 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $259 −$250 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $259 +$241 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $252 −$250 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $253 +$247 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $254 −$250 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $254 +$246 +97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $17 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $17 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $17 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $17 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $46 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $20 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $40 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $18 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $188 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $259 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $88 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2454 history records