trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +28.7% | +16.4% | 50% | 50% | -9.3% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +28.7% | +16.4% | 50% | 50% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +28.7% | +16.4% | 50% | 50% | -9.3% |
| all | 89 | -3.6% | -12.7% | 54% | 51% | -26.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.7% | 51% | -26.8% |
| 10% | -21.1% | 42% | -33.8% |
| 15% | -28.7% | 34% | -40.2% |
| 20% | -35.7% | 22% | -46.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | Over | 70¢ | 60¢ | $150 | $130 | −$20 (-14%) |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | Yes | 53¢ | 26¢ | $50 | $24 | −$26 (-52%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5 | Jun 17 | $265 | +$42 | +16% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $110 | +$77 | +70% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria? | Jun 17 | $15 | +$62 | +401% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $59 | −$58 | -99% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 | Jun 15 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $41 | −$40 | -99% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $31 | +$44 | +142% |
| Spurs vs. Lakers | Dec 11 | $1,110 | −$1,110 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Dec 11 | $1,000 | +$111 | +11% |
| Lakers vs. 76ers | Dec 08 | $245 | −$245 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Jazz | Dec 08 | $75 | −$62 | -82% |
| Rockets vs. Mavericks | Dec 07 | $20 | +$7 | +36% |
| Hawks vs. Wizards | Dec 07 | $15 | −$10 | -65% |
| Clippers vs. Timberwolves | Dec 07 | $20 | +$40 | +200% |
| Kings vs. Heat | Dec 07 | $20 | +$35 | +175% |
| Bucks vs. Pistons | Dec 07 | $20 | −$8 | -41% |
| Will Bournemouth win on 2025-12-06? | Dec 06 | $30 | −$27 | -91% |
| Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06? | Dec 06 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Bulls | Dec 06 | $19 | −$10 | -50% |
| Mavericks vs. Thunder | Dec 06 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Pistons | Dec 06 | $51 | +$115 | +226% |
| Suns vs. Rockets | Dec 06 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Cavaliers | Dec 06 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Nets | Dec 05 | $134 | +$77 | +58% |
| Warriors vs. 76ers | Dec 05 | $52 | +$48 | +93% |
| Lakers vs. Raptors | Dec 04 | $120 | −$120 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Warriors | Dec 03 | $636 | +$8 | +1% |
| Timberwolves vs. Pelicans | Dec 03 | $168 | +$38 | +23% |
| Knicks vs. Celtics | Dec 03 | $362 | −$353 | -98% |
| Grizzlies vs. Spurs | Dec 03 | $126 | +$30 | +24% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Raptors | Dec 03 | $106 | +$19 | +18% |
| Wizards vs. 76ers | Dec 02 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Lakers | Dec 02 | $442 | −$340 | -77% |
| Mavericks vs. Nuggets | Dec 02 | $309 | −$203 | -66% |
| Rockets vs. Jazz | Dec 02 | $101 | +$76 | +75% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pacers | Dec 02 | $200 | +$49 | +25% |
| Bucks vs. Wizards | Dec 02 | $200 | +$61 | +31% |
| Hawks vs. Pistons | Dec 02 | $50 | +$20 | +39% |
| Pelicans vs. Lakers | Dec 01 | $300 | −$254 | -85% |
| Grizzlies vs. Kings | Dec 01 | $1,271 | +$385 | +30% |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers | Nov 30 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Clippers | Nov 30 | $199 | +$365 | +183% |
| Pelicans vs. Warriors | Nov 30 | $131 | +$74 | +56% |
| Mavericks vs. Lakers | Nov 29 | $180 | +$151 | +84% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Nov 29 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Bucks vs. Knicks | Nov 29 | $200 | +$84 | +42% |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks | Nov 29 | $136 | +$55 | +40% |
| Clippers vs. Lakers | Nov 26 | $1,065 | $0 | +0% |
| Spurs vs. Suns | Nov 24 | $767 | −$767 | -100% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | BUY Over | 70¢ | $151 | 1h |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | BUY Yes | 53¢ | $51 | 1h |
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5 | SELL Over | 100¢ | $306 | 13h |
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5 | BUY Over | 86¢ | $265 | 13h |
| Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria? | SELL Yes | 72¢ | $77 | 15h |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 | BUY Over | 58¢ | $110 | 17h |
| Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria? | BUY Yes | 14¢ | $15 | 17h |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 56¢ | $59 | 2d |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 | BUY Over | 74¢ | $101 | 2d |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 | BUY Over | 51¢ | $41 | 2d |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 23¢ | $26 | 3d |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | SELL Yes | 82¢ | $74 | 5d |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | BUY Yes | 33¢ | $31 | 5d |
| Spurs vs. Lakers | BUY Lakers | 40¢ | $464 | 188d |
| Spurs vs. Lakers | BUY Lakers | 40¢ | $598 | 188d |
| Spurs vs. Lakers | BUY Lakers | 40¢ | $49 | 188d |
| Lakers vs. 76ers | BUY 76ers | 15¢ | $106 | 191d |
| Lakers vs. 76ers | BUY 76ers | 15¢ | $5 | 191d |
| Thunder vs. Jazz | BUY Jazz | 10¢ | $20 | 191d |
| Thunder vs. Jazz | SELL Jazz | 11¢ | $13 | 191d |
| Thunder vs. Jazz | BUY Jazz | 14¢ | $28 | 191d |
| Lakers vs. 76ers | BUY 76ers | 45¢ | $13 | 191d |
| Lakers vs. 76ers | BUY 76ers | 45¢ | $116 | 191d |
| Lakers vs. 76ers | BUY 76ers | 45¢ | $6 | 191d |
| Thunder vs. Jazz | BUY Jazz | 19¢ | $27 | 191d |
| Rockets vs. Mavericks | SELL Mavericks | 34¢ | $27 | 192d |
| Hawks vs. Wizards | SELL Wizards | 8¢ | $5 | 192d |
| Clippers vs. Timberwolves | SELL Clippers | 63¢ | $19 | 192d |
| Clippers vs. Timberwolves | SELL Clippers | 63¢ | $41 | 192d |
| Kings vs. Heat | SELL Kings | 66¢ | $50 | 192d |