Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:56:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x16fd…45c5
crypto · 302 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$30 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$30 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$30
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)15%
Wins / losses46 / 256
Open positions0
Markets (closed)302 / 302
History coverage6d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day67.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 0 History 302 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days−$30
14 days−$30
30 days−$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$29
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-74.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 302 -71.7% -74.4% 15% 8% -21.0%
≤30d 302 -71.7% -74.4% 15% 8% -21.0%
≤90d 302 -71.7% -74.4% 15% 8% -21.0%
all 302 -71.7% -74.4% 15% 8% -21.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover67.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -74.4% 8% -21.0%
10% ← realistic here -76.8% 5% -28.5%
15% -79.1% 5% -35.4%
20% -81.1% 5% -41.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 472 history records