trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -95.0% | -95.5% | 0% | 0% | -99.5% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -96.9% | -97.2% | 0% | 0% | -99.8% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -96.9% | -97.2% | 0% | 0% | -99.8% |
| all | 8 | -96.9% | -97.2% | 0% | 0% | -99.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -97.2% | 0% | -99.8% |
| 10% | -97.4% | 0% | -99.8% |
| 15% | -97.7% | 0% | -99.8% |
| 20% | -97.9% | 0% | -99.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $50 | $70 | +$20 (+41%) |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $70 | $35 | −$35 (-50%) |
| Will Nuno Mendes score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 21¢ | 28¢ | $22 | $30 | +$7 (+33%) |
| Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June? | Yes | 24¢ | 19¢ | $15 | $12 | −$3 (-19%) |
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria? | Yes | 13¢ | 14¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | No | 51¢ | 50¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in June 2026? | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -75% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo? | Jun 19 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 14? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO? | Jun 12 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? | Jun 12 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |