Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:13:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x16f7…3c68
other · 4 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
−$41 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$39 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$46
Realized−$39
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)3 / 4
History coverage2d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day3.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit25%
Chart Positions 1 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$39
7 days−$39
14 days−$39
30 days−$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 60¢ $48 $46 −$2 (-4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $37 +$11 +31%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $84 −$55 -66%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$5 +97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 79% −$52
sports 21% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $50 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $48 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 69¢ $37 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 23¢ $29 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $5 41h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $84 41h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +20.9% +9.4% 67% 67% -37.4%
≤30d 3 +20.9% +9.4% 67% 67% -37.4%
≤90d 3 +20.9% +9.4% 67% 67% -37.4%
all 3 +20.9% +9.4% 67% 67% -37.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +9.4% 67% -37.4%
10% -1.1% 67% -43.4%
15% -10.6% 33% -48.8%
20% -19.4% 33% -53.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $46.10 · official $46.10 (match) · 7 history records