trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +1566.7% | +1407.9% | 100% | 100% | +1407.9% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +149.8% | +126.0% | 60% | 60% | +58.2% |
| ≤90d | 23 | +39.7% | +26.4% | 48% | 43% | +2.6% |
| all | 28 | +35.9% | +22.9% | 50% | 46% | -3.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +22.9% | 46% | -3.2% |
| 10% | +11.2% | 39% | -12.4% |
| 15% | +0.4% | 39% | -20.9% |
| 20% | -9.4% | 32% | -28.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $39 | $39 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | No | 24¢ | 24¢ | $14 | $14 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 14¢ | 1¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-95%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 18 | $5 | +$78 | +1567% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $13 | −$13 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 09 | $11 | +$19 | +165% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | Jun 03 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 03 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | Jun 03 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | Jun 03 | $15 | +$2 | +16% |
| Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships | May 26 | $13 | +$7 | +57% |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | May 21 | $6 | +$3 | +52% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 21 | $10 | +$4 | +42% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | May 13 | $10 | +$4 | +41% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | May 06 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 06 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | May 05 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? | May 05 | $9 | +$1 | +12% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Apr 22 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Apr 22 | $7 | +$4 | +60% |
| LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Apr 15 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | Apr 11 | $6 | +$1 | +10% |
| Celtics vs. Hornets | Apr 11 | $25 | +$23 | +92% |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars | Mar 29 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Heat vs. 76ers | Mar 24 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Mar 24 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Pistons | Feb 25 | $10 | +$11 | +113% |
| UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, | Feb 22 | $61 | −$61 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stag | Feb 22 | $19 | +$19 | +104% |
| Knicks vs. Celtics | Feb 18 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims) | Feb 07 | $79 | +$60 | +75% |