trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -22.8% | -30.1% | 45% | 9% | -24.5% |
| ≤30d | 23 | -27.9% | -34.7% | 35% | 13% | -27.3% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -27.9% | -34.7% | 35% | 13% | -27.3% |
| all | 23 | -27.9% | -34.7% | 35% | 13% | -27.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -34.7% | 13% | -27.3% |
| 10% | -41.0% | 9% | -34.2% |
| 15% | -46.7% | 0% | -40.6% |
| 20% | -51.9% | 0% | -46.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Yes | 79¢ | 79¢ | $81 | $81 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $3 | −$2 | -71% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 16 | $82 | +$2 | +2% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 16 | $75 | +$4 | +5% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 15 | $149 | −$16 | -11% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | Jun 14 | $23 | −$15 | -64% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | Jun 14 | $23 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by July 15? | Jun 13 | $50 | −$42 | -83% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $180 | −$61 | -34% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Jun 12 | $135 | −$39 | -29% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 11 | $34 | +$3 | +9% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | Jun 10 | $100 | +$24 | +24% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? | Jun 08 | $85 | +$11 | +13% |
| Will Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National | Jun 07 | $2 | −$1 | -71% |
| Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National A | Jun 07 | $9 | −$2 | -20% |
| Will Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National A | Jun 07 | $7 | −$1 | -17% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 03 | $14 | −$1 | -5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 01 | $134 | +$2 | +1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | Jun 01 | $90 | −$47 | -52% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 30 | $20 | −$10 | -50% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 30 | $95 | −$11 | -12% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $103 | −$101 | -98% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31? | May 30 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 30 | $95 | +$21 | +23% |