Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:24:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x16c9…fa4d
crypto · 532 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$671 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$671 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$149
Realized+$671
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses396 / 482
Open positions0
Markets (closed)878 / 532
History coverage4d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day757.7
Drawdown80%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 878 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$554
7 days+$671
14 days+$671
30 days+$671
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 14¢ 100¢ $6 $43 +$37 (+632%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $19 $37 +$18 (+91%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $7 $14 +$7 (+107%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+96%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 79¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+27%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 44¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+127%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+96%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 71¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+41%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 68¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+47%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 45¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+122%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 68¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+47%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 39¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+156%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 61¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+64%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+108%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+108%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 65¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+54%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 42¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+137%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+108%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 31¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+223%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 11¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+809%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+108%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 39¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+156%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$37 +632%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$7 +107%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +127%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +41%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +104%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +47%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +122%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +47%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +64%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +108%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +108%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +54%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +137%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +108%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +223%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +108%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +43%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +156%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +156%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +245%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +144%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +156%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +104%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +186%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +33%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +35%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +223%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +47%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +104%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +64%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +70%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +79%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +222%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +41%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +104%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +156%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +45%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +64%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +376%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3,013
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $8 14m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 14m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 15m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 24m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 24m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $24 24m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 24m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $8 24m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 24m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $0 24m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $9 24m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $20 24m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $0 24m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $0 24m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 24m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 24m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $7 34m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $0 54m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 54m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $0 54m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $0 54m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $0 54m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $0 55m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $36 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $33 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $20 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 878 -7.3% -16.2% 45% 42% -5.5%
≤30d 878 -7.3% -16.2% 45% 42% -5.5%
≤90d 878 -7.3% -16.2% 45% 42% -5.5%
all 878 -7.3% -16.2% 45% 42% -5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover757.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.2% 42% -5.5%
10% ← realistic here -24.2% 39% -14.6%
15% -31.5% 35% -22.8%
20% -38.2% 27% -30.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $149.16 · official $94.07 · 3500 history records