trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 33% | 0% | -8.7% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -26.6% | -33.6% | 14% | 0% | -11.3% |
| all | 27 | -20.3% | -27.9% | 19% | 0% | -10.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -27.9% | 0% | -10.3% |
| 10% | -34.8% | 0% | -18.9% |
| 15% | -41.1% | 0% | -26.7% |
| 20% | -46.8% | 0% | -33.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Qatar send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 96¢ | $26 | $25 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | Jun 26 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Jun 08 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May? | Jun 02 | $25 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 23? | May 27 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 22 | $54 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C or higher on May 14? | May 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | May 13 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament elec | May 05 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Apr 23 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) win the most seats in the | Apr 21 | $2 | −$2 | -93% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | Apr 21 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Julio César Tórrez win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election | Apr 20 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Alianza para el Progreso (APP) win the most seats in the 2026 Per | Apr 19 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | Apr 16 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Will fewer than 70 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026? | Apr 13 | $1 | −$1 | -81% |
| Ostapenko vs. Ruse: Match O/U 23.5 | Apr 11 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Apr 10 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Apr 08 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Apr 06 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Extended launch a token by March 31 2026? | Apr 03 | $2 | −$1 | -88% |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026? | Apr 03 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Mar 29 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Mar 27 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | Mar 26 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 24, 2026? | Mar 25 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Mar 25 | $31 | +$3 | +10% |
| Will Backpack launch a token on March 23? | Mar 23 | $32 | $0 | +1% |