Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:18:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x16b0…acde
crypto · 1660 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$54 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open −$36
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$620
Realized−$15
Unrealized−$36
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1653 / 21
Est. fees paid−$42
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1674 / 1660
History coverage4d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day508.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 6 History 1674 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$52
7 days−$15
14 days−$15
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Under 44¢ 40¢ $440 $405 −$35 (-8%)
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes 87¢ 88¢ $94 $94 +$1 (+1%)
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 39¢ 38¢ $74 $73 −$1 (-1%)
Will Team Vitality win Valorant Masters London 2026? No 85¢ 84¢ $31 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? No 59¢ 62¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 20¢ 19¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 93¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+4%)
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+3%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +51%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 3PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $57 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $34 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 13 $622 −$11 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $36 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $23 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% +$54
other 7% −$60
sports 6% −$44
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 18m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $19 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $57 28m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 28m
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 19¢ $13 39m
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 19¢ $4 39m
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 19¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 58m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 82¢ $16 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $23 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 1h
Will Team Vitality win Valorant Masters London 2026? SELL No 82¢ $8 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1674 -0.2% -9.7% 99% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 1674 -0.2% -9.7% 99% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 1674 -0.2% -9.7% 99% 0% -9.6%
all 1674 -0.2% -9.7% 99% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover508.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 0% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 0% -18.2%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $619.74 · official $606.32 · 3500 history records