trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -21.5% | -29.0% | 50% | 50% | -44.4% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -38.7% | -44.6% | 33% | 33% | -73.3% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -38.7% | -44.6% | 33% | 33% | -73.3% |
| all | 9 | -38.7% | -44.6% | 33% | 33% | -73.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -44.6% | 33% | -73.3% |
| 10% | -49.9% | 33% | -75.8% |
| 15% | -54.7% | 33% | -78.2% |
| 20% | -59.1% | 33% | -80.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | No | 14¢ | 16¢ | $313 | $351 | +$38 (+12%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 68¢ | 66¢ | $177 | $173 | −$4 (-2%) |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $22 | $20 | −$2 (-11%) |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? | Yes | 33¢ | 2¢ | $241 | $13 | −$229 (-95%) |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $200 | −$198 | -99% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $127 | +$73 | +57% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET | Jun 12 | $206 | −$88 | -43% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET | Jun 12 | $51 | +$49 | +97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET | Jun 11 | $35 | +$34 | +98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET | Jun 11 | $86 | −$83 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET | Jun 11 | $77 | −$75 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | Jun 11 | $4 | −$4 | -94% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 10 | $597 | −$590 | -99% |