Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:45:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x16ad…b33b
sports · 67 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,169 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,397 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,397
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses23 / 44
Whale WR (big bets)45%
Est. fees paid−$69
Open positions0
Markets (closed)67 / 67
History coverage100d
Avg bet$423
Trades / day8.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 0 History 67 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Canadiens 34¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery Menery 25¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Sabres vs. Canadiens Canadiens 14¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 14 $71 +$13 +18%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 14 $30 −$3 -11%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $96 −$6 -6%
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery May 23 $11 −$10 -98%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes May 23 $51 −$50 -98%
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? May 22 $205 −$13 -7%
Canadiens vs. Sabres May 19 $102 +$103 +101%
Sabres vs. Canadiens May 17 $16 −$15 -98%
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-05-13? May 14 $2,886 −$614 -21%
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens May 13 $101 −$8 -8%
Avalanche vs. Wild May 10 $51 +$58 +114%
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) May 10 $31 +$119 +388%
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $2,034 −$66 -3%
Will CF Montréal vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw? May 09 $10 −$1 -8%
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $5 $0 -8%
Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $1,964 −$1,010 -51%
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $10 −$1 -11%
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-05-02? May 03 $2,301 +$42 +2%
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $20 −$1 -6%
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $1,544 −$393 -26%
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $197 −$60 -30%
Huzhou: Xiyu Wang vs Polona Hercog May 01 $2 $0 -5%
Will New York Red Bulls vs. FC Dallas end in a draw? May 01 $5 $0 -8%
Will New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw? May 01 $5 $0 -8%
Will Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw? May 01 $5 $0 -8%
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-05-02? Apr 30 $3 $0 -7%
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-04-25? Apr 25 $617 +$290 +47%
Will New York City FC win on 2026-04-25? Apr 25 $15 −$1 -6%
Will CF Montréal vs. New York City FC end in a draw? Apr 25 $5 $0 -6%
Lightning vs. Canadiens Apr 25 $1,623 +$15 +1%
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-04-18? Apr 18 $3,095 +$129 +4%
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-04-18? Apr 18 $23 +$9 +41%
Will CF Montréal vs. New York Red Bulls end in a draw? Apr 18 $8 $0 -4%
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-18? Apr 18 $1 $0 -14%
Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-18? Apr 18 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Apr 16 $1 $0 +48%
Maple Leafs vs. Senators Apr 16 $220 +$12 +5%
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Apr 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants Apr 15 $52 −$52 -100%
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Apr 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-04-11? Apr 11 $1,067 +$201 +19%
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens Apr 11 $40 −$2 -4%
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division? Apr 10 $15 −$3 -21%
Lightning vs. Canadiens Apr 10 $45 −$1 -2%
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Apr 08 $55 +$47 +86%
Panthers vs. Canadiens Apr 08 $60 +$26 +43%
Lightning vs. Senators Apr 08 $64 +$50 +78%
Nets vs. Lakers Apr 07 $20 −$20 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies Apr 07 $100 +$52 +52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 57% −$1,501
sports 43% +$73
crypto 0% +$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL New York Yankees 97¢ $46 0m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 53¢ $25 17m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL Toronto Blue Jays 46¢ $12 17m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 58¢ $15 27m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL New York Yankees 42¢ $8 27m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 54¢ $10 35m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL Toronto Blue Jays 46¢ $7 35m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 54¢ $8 48m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL New York Yankees 46¢ $4 49m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 55¢ $5 57m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL Toronto Blue Jays 45¢ $3 58m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 35¢ $2 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL New York Yankees 65¢ $6 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 57¢ $5 1h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 5¢ $1 16h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Tampa Bay Rays 4¢ $0 16h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 8¢ $1 16h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Los Angeles Angels 92¢ $10 16h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 71¢ $8 17h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Tampa Bay Rays 29¢ $4 17h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 37¢ $5 17h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Los Angeles Angels 63¢ $4 17h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 70¢ $4 17h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Tampa Bay Rays 31¢ $2 17h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 37¢ $3 17h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Los Angeles Angels 61¢ $2 17h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 54¢ $2 17h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Tampa Bay Rays 46¢ $2 17h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 53¢ $2 17h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Los Angeles Angels 47¢ $2 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -60.5% -64.3% 33% 33% +4.2%
≤30d 8 -48.4% -53.3% 25% 25% -4.7%
≤90d 62 -4.0% -13.2% 34% 26% -14.1%
all 67 -4.8% -13.9% 34% 24% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.9% 24% -14.0%
10% -22.1% 21% -22.2%
15% -29.6% 21% -29.7%
20% -36.5% 15% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 842 history records