trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +54.1% | +39.4% | 100% | 67% | +53.5% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +30.8% | +18.3% | 80% | 40% | +15.3% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +6.9% | -3.3% | 64% | 50% | -3.2% |
| all | 14 | +6.9% | -3.3% | 64% | 50% | -3.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.3% | 50% | -3.2% |
| 10% | -12.5% | 50% | -12.4% |
| 15% | -21.0% | 43% | -20.9% |
| 20% | -28.7% | 43% | -28.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $45 | $45 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 65¢ | 64¢ | $40 | $40 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 64¢ | 62¢ | $35 | $34 | −$1 (-4%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 63¢ | 62¢ | $28 | $28 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $20 | $18 | −$2 (-11%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $101 | +$91 | +90% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $20 | +$14 | +67% |
| Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $31 | +$2 | +5% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $102 | −$10 | -9% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | May 30 | $101 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | May 10 | $43 | −$42 | -97% |
| FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5 | May 06 | $41 | −$36 | -88% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? | May 06 | $50 | −$33 | -66% |
| Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score | May 05 | $25 | +$8 | +32% |
| Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5 | May 05 | $30 | +$15 | +51% |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | Apr 30 | $25 | +$18 | +70% |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score | Apr 30 | $25 | +$23 | +90% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 27 | Apr 29 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) | Apr 29 | $35 | +$19 | +55% |