trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | +$1 | +90% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | Jun 12 | $17 | +$15 | +89% |
| Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels | Jun 11 | $1 | +$1 | +86% |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres | Jun 11 | $1 | +$1 | +65% |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 | Jun 11 | $1 | +$1 | +93% |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets | Jun 10 | $1 | $0 | -6% |
| Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 | Jun 10 | $1 | +$1 | +97% |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles | Jun 10 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 | Jun 10 | $1 | +$1 | +76% |
| New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 | Jun 10 | $1 | +$1 | +111% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 | Jun 10 | $6 | +$3 | +52% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 | Jun 10 | $1 | +$1 | +93% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins | Jun 10 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Jun 10 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | Jun 04 | $3 | +$3 | +83% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | Jun 04 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | Jun 04 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | Jun 04 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | Jun 04 | $2 | +$1 | +31% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | Jun 04 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | Jun 04 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | +14.5% | +3.6% | 59% | 59% | -22.1% |
| ≤30d | 24 | -1.7% | -11.0% | 50% | 50% | -25.3% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -1.7% | -11.0% | 50% | 50% | -25.3% |
| all | 24 | -1.7% | -11.0% | 50% | 50% | -25.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.0% | 50% | -25.3% |
| 10% | -19.5% | 50% | -32.5% |
| 15% | -27.3% | 46% | -39.0% |
| 20% | -34.4% | 46% | -45.0% |