Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:58:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x1670…74e8
crypto · 41 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$33 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$75 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$75
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses24 / 17
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)41 / 41
History coverage58d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 41 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$48
7 days−$40
14 days−$35
30 days−$35
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $77 −$32 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $51 +$15 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$17 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$25 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$25 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $56 +$2 +3%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $24 +$16 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$10 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$2 +6%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $30 +$26 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$10 +197%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $15 +$8 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$4 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $30 −$15 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 10 $26 +$11 +42%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 08 $31 +$4 +14%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 07 $33 −$3 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 05 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$3 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 04 $31 +$9 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 04 $26 +$9 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 04 $25 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 04 $25 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 04 $10 +$7 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Apr 17 $40 −$40 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$137
sports 7% +$51
politics 6% +$2
other 1% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $26 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $17 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $11 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $25 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $26 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $25 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-20.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -2.9% -12.1% 63% 40% -13.9%
≤30d 40 -9.5% -18.1% 60% 42% -12.5%
≤90d 41 -11.7% -20.1% 59% 41% -16.6%
all 41 -11.7% -20.1% 59% 41% -16.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.1% 41% -16.6%
10% -27.8% 29% -24.5%
15% -34.7% 22% -31.8%
20% -41.1% 15% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 112 history records