trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +16.2% | +5.1% | 33% | 33% | -6.1% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +10.8% | +0.2% | 62% | 38% | +3.5% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +4.8% | -5.1% | 57% | 36% | +2.8% |
| all | 14 | +4.8% | -5.1% | 57% | 36% | +2.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.1% | 36% | +2.8% |
| 10% | -14.2% | 36% | -7.0% |
| 15% | -22.5% | 21% | -16.0% |
| 20% | -30.1% | 21% | -24.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 18¢ | $700 | $763 | +$63 (+9%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 13¢ | $600 | $468 | −$132 (-22%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $500 | $467 | −$33 (-7%) |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $350 | $310 | −$40 (-12%) |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 56¢ | 42¢ | $100 | $76 | −$24 (-24%) |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 19¢ | 16¢ | $48 | $39 | −$9 (-18%) |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $8 | $1 | −$7 (-85%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $1,216 | −$113 | -9% |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $359 | +$212 | +59% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $776 | −$9 | -1% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 09 | $514 | +$258 | +50% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 14? | Jun 08 | $8 | −$8 | -94% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 08 | $1,117 | +$106 | +10% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 01 | $1,080 | +$16 | +2% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $1,686 | +$590 | +35% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May? | May 28 | $51 | +$39 | +76% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27? | May 27 | $1,100 | −$12 | -1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | May 27 | $2,158 | +$492 | +23% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | May 23 | $990 | +$45 | +5% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 23 | $100 | −$6 | -6% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 26 | $100 | −$72 | -72% |