Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:29:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x165e…a331
crypto · 1347 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$157 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$153 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$153
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses836 / 508
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1344 / 1347
History coverage20d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day149.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1344 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$265
7 days+$51
14 days+$15
30 days−$153
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 58¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 1¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-83%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$14 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$8 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$13 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$12 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$10 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$11 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$9 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$15 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$6 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$10 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$10 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$7 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$9 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$13 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$11 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$6 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$9 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$6 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$7 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +63%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$153
other 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 18¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $19 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $17 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $17 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 403 +0.4% -9.2% 52% 51% -7.6%
≤30d 1344 -2.9% -12.1% 62% 45% -11.6%
≤90d 1344 -2.9% -12.1% 62% 45% -11.6%
all 1344 -2.9% -12.1% 62% 45% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover149.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 45% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 27% -20.1%
15% -28.2% 18% -27.8%
20% -35.3% 15% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.96 · official $30.96 · 3500 history records