Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:40:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x164f…7036
crypto · 1662 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$73 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$73 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$73
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1608 / 54
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1662 / 1662
History coverage16d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day128.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 0 History 1662 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$37
14 days−$58
30 days−$73
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% −$59
other 15% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 21m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 26m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 26m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 45m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 517 -2.4% -11.7% 94% 3% -12.6%
≤30d 1662 -1.2% -10.6% 97% 1% -10.3%
≤90d 1662 -1.2% -10.6% 97% 1% -10.3%
all 1662 -1.2% -10.6% 97% 1% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover128.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 1% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 0% -18.9%
15% -27.0% 0% -26.7%
20% -34.1% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records