Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:55:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x1647…f879
crypto · 422 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,976 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10,928 · open −$245
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$590
Realized−$10,928
Unrealized−$245
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses369 / 438
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Open positions5
Markets (closed)807 / 422
History coverage6d
Avg bet$251
Trades / day489.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 807 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17,783
7 days−$10,928
14 days−$10,928
30 days−$10,928
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down on June 14? Down 52¢ 65¢ $228 $283 +$55 (+24%)
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes 37¢ 20¢ $370 $195 −$175 (-47%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Up 18¢ 8¢ $73 $35 −$38 (-52%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Up 30¢ 14¢ $45 $22 −$23 (-52%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 94¢ 58¢ $24 $15 −$9 (-38%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 5PM ET Down 34¢ 100¢ $4 $12 +$8 (+199%)
XRP Up or Down on June 14? Up 33¢ 35¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+6%)
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1PM ET Up 26¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+285%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 94¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Down 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+96%)
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Down 80¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+25%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Up 77¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+30%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 94¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8AM ET Up 35¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+186%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 91¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+10%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 5PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +285%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +96%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down on May 9? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 5AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +233%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 9PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +26%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 3PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 4AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 4AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +108%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $85 −$85 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 9AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 20, 2AM ET Jun 14 $80 −$80 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $287 −$218 -76%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $122 −$109 -90%
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 20, 8PM ET Jun 14 $45 −$40 -90%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $81 −$81 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 8PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 2PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $91 −$120 -132%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$5,156
other 0% −$175
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $16 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $9 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $19 25m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $6 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $12 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $13 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $7 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $19 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $9 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $9 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $47 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $13 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $18 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $18 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $18 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $31 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $54 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $167 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $12 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $47 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $94 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $23 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $34 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $107 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $36 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $27 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $15 7h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-47.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 807 -41.9% -47.4% 46% 13% -16.8%
≤30d 807 -41.9% -47.4% 46% 13% -16.8%
≤90d 807 -41.9% -47.4% 46% 13% -16.8%
all 807 -41.9% -47.4% 46% 13% -16.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover489.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -47.4% 13% -16.8%
10% ← realistic here -52.5% 6% -24.8%
15% -57.0% 4% -32.1%
20% -61.3% 4% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $589.69 · official $531.88 · 3500 history records