Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:01:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x1642…0126
sports · 233 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$78 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27 · open −$51
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,853
Realized−$27
Unrealized−$51
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses168 / 8
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions57
Markets (closed)176 / 233
History coverage4d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day70.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 57 History 176 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$47
7 days−$27
14 days−$27
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 93¢ 100¢ $100 $107 +$7 (+7%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13? No 93¢ 100¢ $100 $107 +$7 (+7%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 93¢ 100¢ $100 $107 +$7 (+7%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First Half No 93¢ 100¢ $100 $107 +$7 (+7%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5 Under 91¢ 100¢ $98 $107 +$10 (+10%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner LOS 93¢ 100¢ $100 $107 +$8 (+8%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 13? No 93¢ 100¢ $100 $107 +$7 (+7%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs LOS 93¢ 100¢ $100 $107 +$7 (+7%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner FURIA 93¢ 100¢ $100 $107 +$7 (+7%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 93¢ 100¢ $100 $107 +$7 (+7%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5 Under 92¢ 100¢ $99 $107 +$8 (+8%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 Under 93¢ 100¢ $100 $107 +$7 (+7%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? No 93¢ 100¢ $100 $107 +$7 (+7%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 1.5 Under 92¢ 100¢ $99 $107 +$8 (+8%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 13? No 93¢ 100¢ $100 $107 +$7 (+7%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Under 93¢ 100¢ $100 $107 +$7 (+7%)
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) Qatar 93¢ 99¢ $100 $106 +$6 (+6%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? No 93¢ 98¢ $100 $106 +$6 (+6%)
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) St. Louis Cardinals 93¢ 98¢ $100 $105 +$5 (+5%)
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5) Minnesota Twins 93¢ 98¢ $100 $105 +$5 (+5%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? No 93¢ 96¢ $100 $104 +$4 (+4%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? No 93¢ 96¢ $100 $103 +$3 (+3%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 13? No 93¢ 96¢ $100 $103 +$3 (+3%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? No 93¢ 95¢ $100 $102 +$2 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 13? No 93¢ 95¢ $100 $102 +$2 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $99 +$9 +9%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $100 +$7 +7%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$7 +7%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$7 +7%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $100 +$7 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $100 +$7 +7%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$7 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $76 +$32 +42%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $100 +$7 +7%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 13 $34 +$3 +7%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$7 +7%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $86 +$7 +8%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$7 +7%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $97 −$97 -100%
Israel closes its airspace by June 12? Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Spread: Athletics (-3.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Spread: Athletics (-4.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 66% −$88
other 12% −$41
weather 7% +$28
crypto 7% +$15
world 4% +$6
culture 3% −$4
finance 1% +$3
politics 0% +$1
tech 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Qatar 92¢ $99 13m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 93¢ $100 13m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY No 93¢ $100 15m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 BUY Under 93¢ $100 15m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 93¢ $100 28m
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) BUY Qatar 93¢ $100 33m
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL No 100¢ $5 36m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 93¢ $15 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 93¢ $100 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 93¢ $9 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 93¢ $4 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 93¢ $4 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 93¢ $83 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Draw at halftime? BUY No 93¢ $13 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju BUY No 93¢ $91 1h
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5) BUY Minnesota Twins 93¢ $100 1h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 93¢ $49 1h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 93¢ $13 1h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 93¢ $13 1h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 93¢ $24 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju BUY No 93¢ $9 1h
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5) BUY Minnesota Twins 93¢ $95 1h
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5) BUY Minnesota Twins 93¢ $0 1h
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5) BUY Minnesota Twins 93¢ $5 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 91¢ $98 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY No 93¢ $51 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY No 93¢ $20 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY No 93¢ $16 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY No 92¢ $13 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 93¢ $100 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-7.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 176 +2.6% -7.1% 95% 1% -10.5%
≤30d 176 +2.6% -7.1% 95% 1% -10.5%
≤90d 176 +2.6% -7.1% 95% 1% -10.5%
all 176 +2.6% -7.1% 95% 1% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.1% 1% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -16.0% 1% -19.0%
15% -24.1% 1% -26.9%
20% -31.6% 0% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,853.46 · official $3,854.05 (match) · 455 history records