trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +31.0% | +18.5% | 100% | 100% | +6.8% |
| ≤90d | 2 | +31.0% | +18.5% | 100% | 100% | +6.8% |
| all | 2 | +31.0% | +18.5% | 100% | 100% | +6.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +18.5% | 100% | +6.8% |
| 10% | +7.2% | 50% | -3.4% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -3.2% | 50% | -12.7% |
| 20% | -12.7% | 0% | -21.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $3,174 | $2,997 | −$177 (-6%) |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 3¢ | 1¢ | $6,286 | $2,619 | −$3,667 (-58%) |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 51¢ | 48¢ | $2,338 | $2,239 | −$100 (-4%) |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $2,558 | $2,209 | −$348 (-14%) |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $1,442 | $851 | −$591 (-41%) |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | 43¢ | 32¢ | $950 | $703 | −$247 (-26%) |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $966 | $590 | −$376 (-39%) |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | 25¢ | 14¢ | $465 | $255 | −$210 (-45%) |
| Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 14¢ | 6¢ | $43 | $18 | −$25 (-58%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 08 | $1,220 | +$211 | +17% |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 04 | $37 | +$17 | +45% |