Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:43:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x162e…fe52
crypto · 428 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$542 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$495 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$46
Realized−$495
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses312 / 140
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)452 / 428
History coverage7d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day426.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 452 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$341
7 days−$495
14 days−$495
30 days−$495
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? Up 84¢ 82¢ $45 $44 −$1 (-2%)
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? Down 52¢ 18¢ $6 $2 −$4 (-66%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$65 -108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -30693%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down on May 28? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $21 −$11 -52%
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $13 $0 -4%
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $8 $0 -5%
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $10 +$3 +30%
Meta (META) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$3 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $14 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% −$411
other 17% +$121
finance 2% +$35
tech 1% +$35
politics 0% −$2
sports 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 17¢ $0 0m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 17¢ $0 0m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 17¢ $0 0m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 17¢ $0 0m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 17¢ $0 0m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 17¢ $0 0m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 17¢ $0 0m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 83¢ $1 0m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 83¢ $1 0m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 83¢ $1 0m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 17¢ $0 1m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 17¢ $0 1m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 17¢ $0 1m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 17¢ $0 1m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 17¢ $0 1m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 17¢ $0 1m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 17¢ $0 1m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 17¢ $0 1m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 17¢ $0 1m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 17¢ $0 1m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 17¢ $0 2m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 17¢ $0 2m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 17¢ $0 2m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 17¢ $0 2m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 83¢ $1 2m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 83¢ $1 2m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 17¢ $0 2m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 17¢ $0 2m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 17¢ $0 2m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 17¢ $0 2m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-18.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 452 -9.6% -18.2% 69% 30% -13.7%
≤30d 452 -9.6% -18.2% 69% 30% -13.7%
≤90d 452 -9.6% -18.2% 69% 30% -13.7%
all 452 -9.6% -18.2% 69% 30% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover426.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.2% 30% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -26.0% 13% -21.9%
15% -33.2% 6% -29.5%
20% -39.7% 3% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $46.30 · official $46.47 (match) · 3500 history records