Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:10:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x1629…f41b
crypto · 41 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$25 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$25 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$54
Realized+$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses39 / 1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)40 / 41
History coverage215d
Avg bet$353
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown2%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 40 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $54 $54 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 2? Jun 02 $54 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 1? May 01 $54 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on April 24? Apr 24 $54 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on February 5? Apr 23 $53 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 24? Feb 05 $54 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 18? Jan 24 $53 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 12? Jan 18 $53 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 1 Dec 13 $482 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on December 10? Dec 11 $479 +$3 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 9? Dec 10 $478 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 8 Dec 09 $477 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 7? Dec 08 $477 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on December 6? Dec 07 $476 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 5 Dec 06 $475 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 4? Dec 05 $470 +$4 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 3? Dec 04 $469 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 2? Dec 03 $469 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 1 Dec 02 $468 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on November 30? Dec 01 $468 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on November 29? Nov 30 $467 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 28? Nov 29 $467 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 27? Nov 28 $466 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 26? Nov 27 $466 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $84,000 on November 25? Nov 26 $465 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 24? Nov 25 $465 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 23? Nov 24 $464 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on November 22? Nov 23 $464 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 21? Nov 22 $463 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 20? Nov 20 $464 $0 -0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 19? Nov 20 $463 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on November 17? Nov 19 $100 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on November 1 Nov 19 $100 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on November 17 Nov 19 $100 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $2.30 on November 17? Nov 19 $163 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 16? Nov 17 $462 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 15? Nov 16 $462 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November Nov 15 $461 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on November Nov 14 $461 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $160 on November 12? Nov 13 $460 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on November 1 Nov 12 $459 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 100¢ $54 1h
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 2? BUY Yes 100¢ $54 12d
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 1? BUY No 100¢ $54 45d
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on April 24? BUY No 100¢ $54 51d
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on February 5? BUY No 99¢ $53 129d
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 24? BUY No 100¢ $54 141d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 18? BUY No 100¢ $53 147d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 12? BUY Yes 99¢ $53 153d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 1 BUY No 100¢ $482 184d
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on December 10? BUY No 99¢ $479 185d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 9? BUY Yes 100¢ $478 187d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 8 BUY No 100¢ $477 188d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 7? BUY Yes 100¢ $477 189d
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on December 6? BUY No 100¢ $476 190d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 5 BUY No 100¢ $475 191d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 4? BUY Yes 99¢ $470 192d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 3? BUY No 100¢ $469 193d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 2? BUY Yes 100¢ $469 194d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 1 BUY No 100¢ $468 195d
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on November 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $468 196d
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on November 29? BUY No 100¢ $467 197d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 28? BUY Yes 100¢ $467 198d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 27? BUY Yes 100¢ $466 199d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 26? BUY No 100¢ $466 200d
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $84,000 on November 25? BUY No 100¢ $465 201d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 24? BUY Yes 100¢ $465 201d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 23? BUY No 100¢ $464 202d
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on November 22? BUY Yes 100¢ $464 203d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 21? BUY No 100¢ $463 204d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 20? SELL Yes 100¢ $463 205d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 1 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 4 +0.4% -9.1% 100% 0% -9.1%
all 40 +0.2% -9.3% 98% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 0% -9.4%
10% -18.0% 0% -18.0%
15% -25.9% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $53.97 · official $53.97 (match) · 81 history records