Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x161c…9f62
crypto · 1031 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$553 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$553 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$553
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses472 / 559
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1031 / 1031
History coverage26d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day93.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1031 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$69
7 days−$88
14 days−$229
30 days−$553
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $95 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$11 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$5 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$8 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $92 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$9 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$8 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$8 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $68 +$6 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $77 −$7 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $65 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $75 −$3 -4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +68%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$483
weather 8% −$62
tech 0% −$7
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 296 -6.1% -15.1% 48% 48% -14.4%
≤30d 1031 -5.4% -14.4% 46% 35% -16.9%
≤90d 1031 -5.4% -14.4% 46% 35% -16.9%
all 1031 -5.4% -14.4% 46% 35% -16.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover93.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.4% 35% -16.9%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 29% -24.9%
15% -30.1% 27% -32.1%
20% -36.9% 26% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records