Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:09:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x1612…7287
other · 71 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$1,868 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,876 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,906
Realized+$1,876
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses60 / 10
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)70 / 71
History coverage40d
Avg bet$3,608
Trades / day22.1
Drawdown93%
Kalshi-fit1%
Chart Positions 1 History 70 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$459
7 days+$1,275
14 days−$1,436
30 days+$139
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $1,914 $1,906 −$8 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $1,464 +$156 +11%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $9,382 +$196 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $3,708 +$108 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 10 $1,580 +$16 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $1,329 +$14 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $1,461 +$18 +1%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 09 $2,114 +$50 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $5,381 +$308 +6%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 08 $3,366 +$170 +5%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $759 −$20 -3%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $184 −$14 -8%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $4,372 +$88 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $6,844 +$161 +2%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $1,053 +$25 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $424 +$56 +13%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $6,869 +$253 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $55 +$2 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $8,147 −$1,082 -13%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $7,957 +$321 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $7,100 −$2,674 -38%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $4,568 +$131 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $1,879 −$760 -40%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 01 $3,223 +$150 +5%
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026? Jun 01 $1,937 +$78 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 01 $2,348 +$38 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? May 31 $3,082 +$52 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? May 30 $2,993 +$227 +8%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? May 30 $1,145 +$123 +11%
Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in May 2026? May 30 $3,105 +$138 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 30 $5,165 +$235 +5%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 28 $5,904 +$163 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? May 27 $4,401 +$308 +7%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? May 27 $3,505 +$65 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 27 $3,965 +$264 +7%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 26 $4,790 +$299 +6%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 26 $4,553 +$177 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? May 25 $4,595 +$116 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? May 25 $1,226 +$5 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $3,390 +$100 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $9,296 +$549 +6%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $894 −$204 -23%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026? May 20 $737 +$20 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? May 19 $4,232 −$227 -5%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? May 19 $7,690 +$341 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? May 18 $4,173 −$743 -18%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? May 16 $9,597 +$272 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? May 16 $5,955 +$209 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? May 15 $6,994 +$355 +5%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? May 15 $3,206 +$21 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? May 14 $5,614 −$1,397 -25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$1,792
sports 0% +$77
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $1,309 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,620 2h
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $606 2h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $358 2h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $405 2h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $100 2h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $75 2h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $42 2h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $50 2h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $60 2h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $150 2h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $20 2h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $15 2h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $481 2h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $30 2h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $30 2h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $30 2h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 90¢ $1,464 2h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $4 2h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $59 2h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $802 2h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $121 2h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $56 2h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $10 2h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $2,510 2h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $4,171 2h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $3,470 39h
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $3,816 39h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $991 39h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $903 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +2.0% -7.7% 86% 7% -6.8%
≤30d 51 +0.2% -9.4% 82% 8% -9.5%
≤90d 70 +1.0% -8.6% 86% 6% -8.9%
all 70 +1.0% -8.6% 86% 6% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.1 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 6% -8.9%
10% -17.3% 0% -17.6%
15% ← realistic here -25.3% 0% -25.5%
20% -32.7% 0% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,906.33 · official $1,904.40 (match) · 901 history records