Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:09:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x160a…abae
politics · 4 markets active 1h ago
5.0score
+$7 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP politics specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$50
Realized+$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)3 / 4
History coverage34d
Avg bet$77
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 1 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$101
7 days+$101
14 days+$101
30 days+$101
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Jun 13 $30 +$9 +30%
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele Jun 13 $102 +$92 +90%
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day o May 14 $123 −$93 -76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 83% +$8
other 17% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+3.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +60.1% +44.8% 100% 100% +59.5%
≤30d 2 +60.1% +44.8% 100% 100% +59.5%
≤90d 3 +14.8% +3.9% 67% 67% -6.7%
all 3 +14.8% +3.9% 67% 67% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +3.9% 67% -6.7%
10% -6.1% 67% -15.6%
15% -15.2% 33% -23.8%
20% -23.5% 33% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $49.51 · official $49.51 (match) · 7 history records