Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:46:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x1605…ad36
crypto · 590 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$808 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$808 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$808
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses243 / 347
Open positions0
Markets (closed)590 / 590
History coverage60d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day19.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 590 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$133
7 days−$198
14 days−$252
30 days−$652
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$15 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$12 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$16 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $46 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$20 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$6 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$14 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$18 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$11 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $104 −$52 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$12 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $36 +$10 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $29 −$4 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$6 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$9 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$12 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $31 +$16 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 09 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 09 $26 −$13 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 09 $8 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 09 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 09 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 09 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 09 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 09 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 08 $16 −$13 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 08 $51 −$16 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 08 $26 −$8 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 08 $26 −$19 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 08 $26 −$12 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 08 $26 +$16 +61%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$708
world 2% −$100
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-22.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 84 -15.0% -23.1% 45% 39% -19.9%
≤30d 534 -15.4% -23.5% 42% 39% -20.9%
≤90d 590 -14.8% -22.9% 41% 38% -22.6%
all 590 -14.8% -22.9% 41% 38% -22.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.9% 38% -22.6%
10% -30.3% 34% -30.0%
15% -37.0% 30% -36.7%
20% -43.2% 25% -42.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1571 history records