Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:04:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x1604…3abb
other · 8 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses2 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)5 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day8.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 3 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs 77¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+30%)
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Yes 12¢ 11¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-11%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? No 65¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-27%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 +$3 +259%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +153%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 50% −$2
sports 40% +$2
world 10% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 77¢ $2 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? BUY No 65¢ $1 23h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 24h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $2 24h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $3 24h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 27h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $1 27h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $1 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)+10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +22.4% +10.7% 40% 40% -5.9%
≤30d 5 +22.4% +10.7% 40% 40% -5.9%
≤90d 5 +22.4% +10.7% 40% 40% -5.9%
all 5 +22.4% +10.7% 40% 40% -5.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +10.7% 40% -5.9%
10% +0.1% 40% -14.9%
15% -9.6% 40% -23.1%
20% -18.4% 40% -30.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.22 · official $4.22 (match) · 10 history records