trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -12.4% | -20.7% | 50% | 50% | -16.2% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 69% | 69% | -14.1% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +12.7% | +1.9% | 76% | 76% | -12.9% |
| all | 82 | -3.9% | -13.1% | 56% | 55% | -13.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.1% | 55% | -13.9% |
| 10% | -21.4% | 49% | -22.1% |
| 15% | -29.0% | 40% | -29.7% |
| 20% | -36.0% | 33% | -36.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? | No | 85¢ | 84¢ | $262 | $260 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $334 | −$329 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $347 | +$484 | +140% |
| Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $306 | +$33 | +11% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $288 | −$282 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $180 | +$131 | +73% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $210 | +$154 | +73% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $250 | +$39 | +16% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $545 | −$534 | -98% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $450 | +$54 | +12% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $205 | +$60 | +29% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $131 | +$32 | +24% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 08 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | Jun 08 | $18 | +$7 | +36% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 23 | $24 | +$12 | +50% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | May 15 | $17 | +$5 | +29% |
| Hawks vs. Heat | May 15 | $24 | +$13 | +52% |
| Pistons vs. 76ers | Apr 12 | $17 | +$12 | +70% |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines | Mar 29 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22? | Mar 29 | $59 | +$15 | +25% |
| Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights | Mar 15 | $43 | −$43 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Bucks | Mar 15 | $71 | +$37 | +52% |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27? | Mar 08 | $39 | +$45 | +113% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18? | Feb 18 | $36 | −$36 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Celtics | Feb 06 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Feb 06 | $92 | −$46 | -50% |
| Hornets vs. Rockets | Feb 05 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage | Feb 05 | $39 | +$11 | +28% |
| Suns vs. Heat | Jan 25 | $21 | +$21 | +96% |
| Flames vs. Sharks | Dec 16 | $28 | −$28 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Hornets | Dec 12 | $38 | −$38 | -100% |
| Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02? | Dec 02 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Celtics | Nov 26 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Cavaliers | Nov 26 | $15 | +$14 | +89% |
| Magic vs. Knicks | Nov 19 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Grizzlies | Nov 12 | $16 | +$9 | +56% |
| Bruins vs. Senators | Nov 03 | $12 | +$7 | +59% |
| Heat vs. Magic | Oct 27 | $17 | +$5 | +30% |
| Delaware Blue Hens vs. Jacksonville State | Oct 15 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Louisiana Tech vs. Kennesaw State | Oct 09 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01? | Oct 01 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will New York City FC win on 2025-09-24? | Oct 01 | $9 | +$7 | +70% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-17? | Sep 24 | $14 | +$8 | +54% |
| Washington State vs. North Texas | Sep 17 | $9 | +$4 | +49% |
| Arizona State vs. Mississippi State | Sep 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-31? | Sep 13 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Phillies vs. Reds | Aug 31 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Mets vs. Pirates | Aug 31 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. 76ers | Aug 31 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Heat | Aug 31 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Astros vs. Marlins | Aug 31 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |